2.4.2 Demography

The District's urban population has continued to shift outward from the fully developed eastern part of the watershed to outlying western suburbs.  The watershed's population lives in 27 cities and two townships.  Twelve of those communities lie completely within the watershed.  Population within the District was estimated by multiplying the percentage of each city's area within the District by the city's total population.  Summing these numbers produced an estimate of the total District population.

Table 13 lists the District's population by city based on the 2000 census.  The current population living within the District is estimated at just over 300,000 people.  Based on Metropolitan Council demographic forecasts for 2010, 2020 and 2030, it is projected that the overall population within the District will increase about 24 percent to over 378,000.  This growth is projected to include not only residential development of areas in the upper watershed now vacant or agricultural, such as in the growing areas of Victoria, Minnetrista and Chanhassen, but also higher density redevelopment within the existing urbanized areas. 

Table 13.  Population projections for the portions of cities within the MCWD.

For Area Within the MCWD

 

Area within MCWD

2000 Census

2010 Projected

2020 Projected

2030 Projected

Expected change 2000-2030

Hennepin County 

Deephaven

82%

3,167

3,206

3,206

3,206

1%

Edina

27%

12,990

13,422

13,696

14,107

9%

Excelsior

100%

2,393

2,500

2,700

2,800

17%

Golden Valley

1%

264

295

299

312

18%

Greenwood

100%

729

760

770

780

7%

Hopkins

52%

9,074

9,352

9,718

9,875

9%

Independence

14%

450

556

623

681

51%

Long Lake

100%

1,842

2,100

2,250

2,450

33%

Maple Plain

25%

530

647

652

659

24%

Medina

37%

1,500

2,173

3,446

4,757

217%

Minneapolis

36%

136,767

143,647

151,151

155,439

14%

Minnetonka

45%

23,083

23,263

23,263

24,166

5%

Minnetonka Beach

100%

614

640

660

660

7%

Minnetrista

65%

2,839

3,648

6,123

8,663

205%

Mound

100%

9,435

10,400

11,000

11,400

21%

Orono

100%

7,538

 8,300

9,500

9,800

30%

Plymouth

16%

10,808

11,974

12,466

12,876

19%

Richfield

32%

11,016

12,104

13,260

14,448

31%

St. Bonifacius

100%

1,873

2,850

2,750

2,900

55%

St. Louis Park

88%

38,968

41,529

43,561

45,505

17%

Shorewood

90%

6,692

7,099

7,234

7,325

9%

Spring Park

100%

1,717

1,850

2,000

2,100

22%

Tonka Bay

100%

1,547

1,800

1,800

1,800

16%

Wayzata

100%

4,113

4,300

4,500

4,700

14%

Woodland

100%

480

500

530

510

6%

Carver County

Chanhassen

23%

4,616

6,246

7,836

8,631

87%

Laketown Township

52%

1,218

940

434

-  

-100%*

Victoria

100%

4,021

10,690

19,582

27,974

596%

Watertown Township

2%

24

25

27

30

25%

TOTAL

300,308

326,816

355,037

378,554

26%

Note:  Population of area within MCWD was calculated as total population times the percent of area within MCWD.

*Laketown Township has a -100% population projection due to annexation agreements.

Source: Metropolitan Council 2030 Regional Framework Revised Population Forecasts.