2.4.4 2020 and 2030 Land Use Planning

Within the lower watershed, land use is not expected to change significantly between 2000 and 2020 (see Figure 12 for 2020 planned land use).  Communities within this area expect some redevelopment to occur, replacing older obsolete residential and commercial uses with new, mixed-use developments.  Some change in impervious surface may result from this redevelopment, but the magnitude of the change is expected to be small compared to the overall area.  Communities have begun planning for 2030, utilizing the 2030 Framework developed by the Metropolitan Council (see Figure 13).  The Metropolitan Council identifies the entire lower watershed in the 2030 Framework as Developed Area, and the strategies and policies for growth in this area are for redevelopment, reclamation, and infill.

Within the upper watershed, land use change between 2000 and 2020 is expected to continue the pattern of conversion of agricultural lands and woodland to low-density residential development.  The 2030 Framework designates much of the area around Lake Minnetonka as Developing Area, reflecting the continued growth and infill in that area.  The outer fringes of the watershed are classified by the Metropolitan Council as Diversified Rural, sparsely developed areas that include “…a mix of a limited amount of large-lot residential and clustered housing, agriculture, and facilities and services requiring a rural location.”  (Metropolitan Council 2004)

Table 15.   Land Use in 2000 Compared to Planned Land Use in 2020.

Land Use Category

Area in 2000 (acres)

Area in 2020 (acres)

Single Family Residential

36,520.1

47,926.3

Multi-Family Residential

1,501.3

1,992.5

Commercial

2,185.3

2,366.4

Industrial

1,202.0

926.8

Institutional

2,863.1

3,325.3

Parks and Open Space

13,621.3

14,976.2

Agriculture

9,507.8

5,737.2

Transportation*

2,447.7

13,383.2

Water

21,977.1

20,468.8

Vacant or Undetermined**

21,945.0

2,668.1

Note:  *In  2000 Land Use, “Transportation” included only highways, railroads, and airports, while in 2020 “Transportation” also includes local road right of way.  ** In 2000 all of Victoria was classified as Undetermined

Source:  Cities as reported to the Metropolitan Council